BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Alfred St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 171 Conference: Eastern Collegiate Football Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength = 41.94
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Home L 34.10 21 39 3 107 ( 6- 5) Utica -8.12 -9.88
2 09/11/2021 Away L 50.85 27 28 3 135 ( 3- 7) Rochester 8.63 -9.63
3 09/18/2021 Home L 37.60 17 20 3 168 ( 4- 5) U of New England -4.62 1.62
4 09/25/2021 Away W 31.83 35 28 3 227 ( 1- 9) Defiance -10.39 17.39
5 10/09/2021 Home W * 43.17 35 20 3 211 ( 3- 6) SUNY-Maritime 0.95 14.05
6 10/16/2021 Home L * 30.18 17 28 3 161 ( 7- 3) Anna Maria -12.04 1.04
7 10/23/2021 Away W * 44.60 24 21 3 190 ( 4- 3) Gallaudet 2.38 0.62
8 10/30/2021 Away W * 55.04 38 7 3 230 ( 0- 10) Keystone 12.82 18.18
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 48.29 35 24 3 187 ( 6- 4) Castleton 6.07 4.93
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 56.91 37 15 3 207 ( 2- 8) Dean 14.69 7.31
11 11/20/2021 Away L 28.73 16 42 3 118 ( 9- 2) UMass-Dartmouth -13.49 -12.51
Averages 41.94 27.5 24.7
Best game: 56.91 = 22 point win over Dean
Worst game: 28.73 = 26 point loss to UMass-Dartmouth
Team stdev: 10.09